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Written by Moneycorp
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Tuesday, 09 March 2010 08:52 |
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Positive economic signs from the UK economy
allow a near-miraculous recovery for sterling after
a sharp fall. Investors are more relaxed about the
Greek budget problems.
Sterling fell sharply last Monday, losing nearly
two cents before lunch. The remainder of the
week was devoted to the slow and tedious
process of recovery. Although it seemed an
impossible ambition last Monday afternoon
sterling opened in London this morning at €1.11,
unchanged on the week.
At the beginning of the week the nondomiciled
tax status of Baron Ashcroft
dominated the media. Allegedly, the noble lord
had bought his way into a peerage by making
large donations to the Conservative party. For
some reason this old tradition had become
suddenly improper. It would be an exaggeration
to blame sterling's sharp fall on Lord Ashcroft
alone but the story will certainly have unnerved
investors who were already nervous about the
Tories failing to win a majority at the forthcoming
general election.
From there it was uphill all the way but at least
sterling managed to make it up the hill with the
assistance of some positive news. On Tuesday
the government held a successful auction of 30-
year gilts which attracted bids for nearly twice
that much. The last five auctions of 30-year stock
have achieved an average of 1.63 times cover so,
whatever misgivings they may have about
sterling's short-term future, there is a degree of
confidence among investors the current
problems will be short-lived.
Having ignored Monday's manufacturing
purchasing managers' index (their minds were
on other things) investors took a great deal of
interest in Wednesday's services sector PMI. At
58.4 the services PMI was
more than three points
better than predicted,
scoring a three-year high.
It blew America's 53.0 and
Euroland's 51.8 into the
weeds. Coming hard on
the heels of a ten-point
jump in consumer
confidence it was another
reminder to the market
that not everything to do
with Britain's economy is
in a state of collapse.
There was more
reassurance from the
Bank of England when the
Monetary Policy Committee
voted to keep
interest rates unchanged
for a 13th month and to
leave quantitative easing
on hold.
A rash of data provided
no coherent picture of the
euro zone economy. The
manufacturing and services PMIs were both a
little softer on the month but not far adrift from
what the analysts had forecast. Consumer and
producer price inflation were roughly in line with
the market's expectations but had no immediate
implications for euro interest rates. A -0.3%
monthly fall for retail sales
was better than the
expected -0.5% decline
but still not exactly
positive. The revision to
fourth quarter GDP
showed the Euroland
economy growing by
+0.1%.
The European Central
Bank tightened monetary
policy on Thursday with an
end to the cheap threemonth
loans it had been
offering to commercial
banks. They will still be
able to borrow one-week
money at 1% but the
three-month rate will
depend in future on
market rates. The ECB had
nothing to offer the
Athens government and
said it would oppose any
attempt to approach the
IMF for assistance.
Nevertheless, Greece did manage to find buyers
for a €5 billion bond issue.
By the end of the weekend it had become
clear that, although Germany would not put its
hand in its pocket for a Greek bailout, the EU
had an emergency plan if push came to shove.
At least for the moment investors are
comfortable, if not deliriously happy, about the
situation but their next question will be
whether France and Germany will be able to
carry the euro zone economy ahead on their
own if the economies of Greece, Spain,
Portugal, Ireland and Italy are to be weighed
down by austerity measures of one sort or
another.
Whilst sterling's recovery last week might be
seen as a sign that there is life in the old dog
yet, it is still hard to see the British currency as
anything other than a dog. Opinion polls
continue to indicate a hung parliament and
investors fear that even after the general
election Britain's government will be paralysed
by indecision, unable or unwilling to tackle the
budget gap. Buyers of the euro should hedge
50% of what they will need. If the money is
required in the near future they should
consider covering the whole amount.
For further information about Moneycorp
and its services please contact the local Costa
Blanca office of Moneycorp on 902887243 and
quote The CoastRider. |
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Written by Ozara Lawyers
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Tuesday, 09 March 2010 08:51 |
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I am pleased to be able to say that I have a general
feeling that the stagnant situation relating to
property in Spain may actually be showing signs
of change. I am not going to make any wild
predictions or claims that the "crisis" is on/off or
indifferent as certain inept governments like to do
but I am seeing evidence of some movement in
the property sector which brings me to the point
of the article for this week.
I know from professional contacts, that still
Spain is the number 1 destination for Northern
European retirees when deciding on where to
finally settle. This is for a mixture of reasons and
fortunately it does mean that despite obviously
turbulent times the demand for property in Spain
( amongst Northern Europeans ) is a permanent
one, and so it is only a question of time rather than
anything else which determines what happens
when.
As people are visiting from various parts of
Scandinavia, Eastern Europe and the UK with a
view to planning their retirement now is a good
time to decide whether or not you really want to
sell or maybe rent to them. Most people visiting
are open minded when they arrive and may well
find it enticing to rent a property with an option
to buy. Where you may have been assuming that
all you can do is pray for a buyer it may be possible
to make an alternative plan.
If you rent out your property you will find that
with a well prepared contract you will have
protection from the situation people used to find
themselves in where they could never get rid of a
tenant or put the rent up. Those days are gone
thank goodness due to the development of
legislation post 1995 which gives property owners
the means to evict tenants.
Of course the horror stories are fortunately
rare and most retirees will simply be looking for
a fair contract with a fair rent and will probably
almost certainly buy the property if they have
enjoyed renting it and it is all that you promised
them. Of course this is not guaranteed if for some
reason they don´t like the area or the property
has not lived up to expectations but of course,
during the life of the agreed rental period you will
have received income and also possibly times
may have changed and you may find there are
more buyers around when the rental period
finishes.
The art is to have a good contract drawn up
which is renewable say every year or two
whichever suits, with allowances for rental
increases. Of course this may not suit everyone but
it can be a very useful way to find a buyer and
solve a temporary problem of a slow housing
market. Anyone serious about selling should
consider this option as even builders of new
properties are having to reconsider their approach
to sales and marketing and offer alternative
strategies to clients to enable them on to the
property ladder.
The other possibility of course is to insist on a
sale but again consider if a flexible contract may
not be better than the old fashioned approach of
simply sayjng to the buyer - see you at the notary
with all the money in under 30 days!
This is no longer realisitic for many buyers as
often they have the will but lack the means to
proceed with a purchase, if there is an agreed
flexible plan about payments and other
conditions such as a reserve deposit followed by a
purchase deposit and then perhaps an interim
payment staggered, this could enable them to
arrange loans, sell another property, maybe
receive an insurance or retirement lump sum. The
key is to be flexible and be prepared to think a little
differently about how to sell your house.
We are specialists in property and
conveyancing and will be more than happy to
assist anyone with such matters. Any
arrangements made in advance will help your
agent/s with selling or renting your property and
we are very accomplished at working with agents
to act on the clients behalf. For example, a power
of attorney can be arranged which speeds matters
up considerably and will very much motivate the
agents in dealing with your property. It should be
remembered that as the market is slow, anyone
who does not help the agent by making sensible
contact and legal representation arrangements is
not likely to find their property on the top of the
agents list of properties to show. They have to
work in a practical way and so vendors who simply
say "here´s the details and this is how much I want
for it" and then disappear to the UK without
leaving a power of attorney, keys and so on, are
likely to be at the bottom of the viewers lists -
agents are only human beings and if someone is
visiting Spain for a week to buy or rent a property,
they are switiched off immediately by
vendors/rentors that are "away for a couple of
weeks" or not back until "June", meaning viewing
and any possible negotiations are blocked for
some period of time. When this happens unless
your agent is superhuman ( which I know some
do their very best to be ) it is very difficult to
maintain a clients interest while numerous phone
calls and general chasing around is carried out.
Remember these potential buyers/renters can
quickly walk down the end of the road with the
agent and find someone who has arranged power
of attorney, left the keys, provided all necessary
paperwork and information required to go to the
notary so think carefully before dismissing agents
needs. The best thing every time is to already have
a lawyer in place who you know you can trust and
simply leave to deal with all matters with the agent
and act in your best interests, this way it makes it
feasible for a good agent and good lawyer to
acheive satisfaction for you as quickly as possible.
The first step is to consider what may interest
you and then discuss the matter in detail with your
lawyer. Once you have agreed what plan of action
you wish to take you can simply hand the matter
to your lawyer. Sometimes this is useful even if you
are here permanently since as mentioned
previously a lawyer can prepare contracts and
agreements of various types and you will have a
lot more flexibility as a result of their advice, also
sometimes we just don´t want to be bothered
with the intricacies of it all.
A free initial consultation could lead to you
coming to the solution to your property problems
so don´t hesitate to contact us at
This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it
or call 654 316 785. |
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Written by Mark Harrison
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Tuesday, 09 March 2010 08:48 |
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One of the most controversial issues in
fund management is past performance
and whether it has any relationship to the
future. Academics have said that you
have as much chance of picking a future
winning fund by selecting the best from
the past as you have of winning at
roulette by looking at where the balls
ended up earlier. Personally, I don’t think
this is a good analogy and past
performance charts are important but
should not be used as a sole reason to
invest into a product.
The Financial Services Authority (FSA) has
said that the past has no serious
predictive value. At one time, the FSA
wanted to ban past performance charts
because the FSA said they just confuse
investors. But the fund management
industry put up a spirited defence of the
practice (without which it would have to
rewrite all its adverts and literature), and
its view prevailed.
Whether your investment is an OEIC,
investment trust or insurance bond,
performance charts are available for you
to scrutinize. The charts are usually
measured against sectors such as the
FTSE, Dow Jones Index or Pacific equities
excluding Japan. Measuring a fund’s
performance against a sector is a good
thing – the idea is to compare apples
with apples, not oranges or pears. So to
give you an example – if you have a fund
investing in Commercial Property then
this is measured against the FTSE UK
Commercial Property Index Series, which
basically gives an average performance
of all the commercial property funds in
the UK and you can then measure the
fund you are looking at against this. So,
why is comparing a fund against a sector
important? Well, if you have a fund
performance of 10% over the last 12
months then most people would agree
that this is a good performance.
However, if it is compared to the sector
and the sector average of all other funds
in the same class has returned a 15%
return then the 10% fund doesn’t seem
very good. It can work the other way, as
I have seen many times over the last year
or so. A fund can return a performance
of 3%, which can look like a bad return,
however, if the sector average is minus 10
per cent then the 3% fund is a star fund.
Also, when examining performance
charts and the sectors that they are
compared to, keep in mind that coming
fifth in a sector of 200 funds is a real
achievement, but coming fifth in a sector
of 10 is just average.
An important point when looking at
past performance is that comparisons
don’t always work smoothly as some
funds are mobile. What I mean by mobile
is that they move the asset mix over time
and therefore change sectors, usually
making the fund look better. Also,
sometimes the sector boundaries or even
the name are altered, making it tough to
follow a fund over the years. An even
bigger problem occurs when funds
merge. This happens all the time but
over the last couple of years during the
credit crisis I have seen an increase of
funds merging with others (I’ve also seen
an increase of funds going bust – but that
is another story!). When a fund merges
into another then usually the fund with
the better record continues and the other
is air-brushed out of history. Thankfully,
there are many funds that have good
pedigrees and have a solid history to
track. Looking at the history and track
record of the lead fund manager is also
important. Experience is vital in fund
management, don’t get confused by
statements such as “Managers have 40
years of experience in markets”. Some
funds may have ten managers – that’s an
average of just four years each!
The ideal investment portfolio is not
one full of funds that are currently
topping the table. Too many fund
managers have succeeded in heading
the league one day and propping it up
the next. Instead, look for a consistent
performance over a number of years (at
least 5 years). I would want to invest in a
fund that beats 60 or 70 per cent of its
competitors on a regular basis. If
performance charts show anything, it
shows if a fund is consistently ahead of
the majority and so provides better value
for investors rather than the flash-in-thepan
funds.
You can contact me at
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Written by Moneycorp
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Tuesday, 09 March 2010 08:35 |
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Transferring money overseas can be a daunting
prospect at any time but particularly when the
money involved represents hundreds of
thousands of euros or pounds, or even your
entire life’s savings. How can you be sure that it
is in safe hands? We asked currency specialists,
Moneycorp, to comment on this.
Moneycorp is a large UK based organisation
which has been trading in foreign exchange for
over 30 years. Last year Moneycorp traded over
£11 billion in currencies and understands the
need for efficient payment services, which
comply with the legal regulation and
requirements.
As a large organisation, Moneycorp is both
“authorised” and “registered” by the FSA. This
involves fulfilling specific criteria. To be
“authorised”, a firm must
• Be properly organised and run by suitable
people who have not been convicted of financial
crimes
• Have enough money behind it
• Have proper arrangements in place to
safeguard customers’ money.
A company that is only “registered” means that
the FSA only check that the people running the
company have not been convicted of financial
crimes, that the company is based in the UK and
that if it is choosing to protect clients’ money,
how it will do so.
Moneycorp explained to us that as their
standard process, all money belonging to
customers is held in a specified Client Account.
This money is maintained separately from the
company’s own money, meaning that
Moneycorp does not make interest or profit from
any client’s funds and cannot use them for
speculative purposes. As an “authorised” firm,
client money is protected so that if the company
should ever get into financial difficulty and be
wound up, customer’s money would be
returned to them.
Moneycorp is a company proud of its financial
stability and publicises its company accounts on
the internet. The company served over 2.8
million customers last year and is unique in the
industry in having held an ISO Quality
Assurance Accreditation consistently since
1996. Moneycorp prides itself on its quality
service to private individuals and business
clients alike.
When booking currency transfers, Moneycorp
issues clients with a Contract Summary
outlining the specified value date of the
contract, the exact amounts of money involved
in both the originating and destination
currency, the rate of exchange applied to the
currency and confirmation of any transaction
costs. All payments have a specific transaction
reference and proof of payment is emailed to
the client when the onward payment has been
made, enabling the client to track their funds.
Services available through Moneycorp include
spot rate transfers, regular payments and a
special repatriation scheme, designed for
people selling property in Spain and
transferring the proceeds to the UK. To find out
how Moneycorp can help you save money
through your currency transfers and to receive
further information about the benefits of using
Moneycorp, please contact the local Costa
Blanca office at the number below.
If you wish to contact Moneycorp, please call the
local Costa Blanca office on 902887243,
email
This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it
, visit
www.moneycorp.com/TheCoastRider or
Moneycorp’s main website
www.moneycorp.com.
Please tell Moneycorp you saw this article in
The CoastRider. |
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